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Center for Space Environment
Research and Forecast (CSERF) is
set up in November 10, 2003, of
which the aim is to effectively rally the
superior forces in space environment
fields in Chinese Academy of Scienc-
-es (CAS), so as to provide space
environmental protection for China's
space science and technology activit-
-
ies, improve the level in space scie-
-
nce services of CAS, promote the re-
-
alization of the complete value chain called "detection-research-applicati-
-
on" in space environment science
fields in CAS, and make a major
strategic contribution to the country's
economic construction and aerosp-
-ace industry.
Linked with Center for Space Science and Applied Research (CSS-
-
AR) of the Chinese Academy of
Sciences (CAS), CSERF is establish-
-ed by six organizations , including
CSSAR, the National Astronomical
Observatories of CAS (NAOC), Wuhan
Institute of Physics and Mathematics
(WIPM) of CAS, the Institute of Atmos-
-pheric Physics (IAP) of CAS and the
University of Science and Technology
of China (USTC). CSERF is primarily
engaged in application research and
services, such as space environment
monitoring, prediction, effects analysis
in space environment research and
application fields, and so on. The main responsibility of CSERF is to
coordinate, combine and organize the
relevant processions in space enviro-
-nment research and application fields
in CAS, make efforts to undertake
major tasks of the national space
environment research and application,
positively launch research in space
environment prediction and effects
analysis, develop technology in space
environment application, and serve......
More>>
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 SPACE ENVIRONMENT SITUATION |
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| Updated:2010.07.30 01:28 UTC |
Forecaster:022 |
| Space Environment Summary |
| During the past 24 hours, solar activity was very low. Region 1089 and 1092 was stable, and no C or above class flare produced. The solar wind speed decreased to about 550 km/s. The geomagentic field was quiet to unsettled. The greater than 2MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the past 24 hours. |
| Space Environment Forecast |
| Within the next three days, solar activity is expected to be very low. The geomagnetic field will be mainly at quiet levels. The greater than 2MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to remain at high levels on 30-31 July. |
| Space Environment Indexes |
F10.7
Solar Radio F10.7 cm flux forecast during the next 24/48/72 hours |
| 24HR |
48HR |
72HR |
| 85 |
85 |
85 |
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Ap
Geomagnetic Ap index forecast during the next 24/48/72 hours |
| 24HR |
48HR |
72HR |
| 8 |
5 |
5 |
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| Probabilities for Space Environment Events |
Solar Flares
Probabilities for a medium-sized (M-class) or a major (X-class) solar flare during the next 24/48/72 hours |
| |
24HR |
48HR |
72HR |
| M |
1 |
1 |
1 |
| X |
1 |
1 |
1 |
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Geomagnetic Storms
Probabilities for significant disturbances in Geomagnetic field are given for two activity levels:minor storm, major storm |
| |
24HR |
48HR |
72HR |
| Minor |
10 |
1 |
1 |
| Major |
1 |
1 |
1 |
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Proton
Probabilities for solar proton event during the next 24/48/72 hours |
| 24HR |
48HR |
72HR |
| 1 |
1 |
1 |
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Electron
Probabilities for High-energy electrons enhancement events |
| 24HR |
48HR |
72HR |
| 30 |
20 |
5 |
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